I like his chances to contend in the Open. He played the par 5s poorly last week, but he rocked them at the Memorial.
What keeps me at ease is despite the terrible start he had yesterday, he played the remaining 12 holes at -3 par. If I were to make a realistic arm chair statement, his overall wedge game including short game need improvement; otherwise he won't have much fun at Royal Lytham.
It is a par 70 according to the www.royallytham.org/scorecard. Only holes #7 and #11 are par 5s.
Guess "Vegas" saw something the pundits didn't???