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| From: | paczkowski | 10/8/2004 2:28 pm |
| To: | ALL |
(1 of 88) | | | | 1.1 | |
| What's your assessment of the risks related to the use of electronic voting machines -- in the areas of verifiable voting, errors, recounts and manipulation -- not in the computer lab, but in a real-world setting? And how do those risks compare with current voting systems and other low-tech options? |
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| | | | | 1.2 in reply to 1.1 | |
| The lack of transparency of DREs (Direct Recording Electronic voting systems) is troubling. You cannot look at a DRE and tell what's going on inside it. There is no way to count the votes in a publicly observable fashion, and there's no way to recount the votes if there is a contrversy.
Ignoring for the moment the security problems that are known about the machines, the lack of transparency is a show stopper. Voting systems should be designed so that the public has every reason to believe that their votes are being counted. Even if the computers do not cheat, the very fact that cheating is so easy with computers means that a more transparent voting mechanism is needed.
Edited 10/11/2004 8:29 pm ET by paczkowski
Edited 10/11/2004 8:32 pm ET by paczkowski |
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| | | | | 1.3 in reply to 1.1 | |
| Evoting systems will be used in hundreds of jurisdictions around the country in this election, including several whole states, in many cases for the first time in any general election. Except for Nevada these systems will have no voter-verifiable paper trail, and no other mechanism for verifying that the votes chosen and viewed by the voter on the screen are the same as the votes recorded by the machine on its memory cards and fed into the canvass. This is an absolutely fundamental security error that will be corrected, at least in some states (like California), by 2006; the problem may persist for much longer in other states.
Having a vote misrecorded by a computerized voting machine is not a farfetched concern at all. Most people are not aware that there are tens of thousands of lines of software (alarmingly secret!) between the touch on the screen and the internal recording of the vote. There is abundant opportunity for ordinary bugs or malicious code to misrecord votes. Although evoting machines and software have been tested to some extent before being "certified" and fielded, the standards are weak and the testing is minimal and hopelessly inadequate to the complexity of the task, in spite of what vendors and some election officials would have us believe. Even carefully written, thoroughly exercised code always has many bugs and security vulnerabilities left, as is demonstrated by experience with Microsoft operating systems and applications, which are riddled with bugs in spite of many years of development by the biggest software company in the world. Furthermore, in almost every case the evoting software being used in the upcoming general election has been modified several times since 2002, and is being used for the very first time in a real general election this fall. It is important to understand that if a small number of votes are misrecorded because of a problem in the voting machine software, in most cases there is absolutely no possibility of even detecting it, let alone correcting it, despite vendors' claims of safeguards such as redundant storage and internal software consistency checks.
The biggest concern I see for the upcoming general election is that evoting machines (with no paper trail) are essentially inauditable, and there is no possibility of a meaningful recount. A meaningful recount procedure is a way of counting the original ballots that is designed to detect and correct the most likely sources of error in the original count procedure, and also is directly observable by all parties so that they can walk away satisfied that the final count is correct. But with evoting the original ballots are electromagnetic patterns embedded in a memory chip, which cannot be observed at all except with another computer and more software whose integrity can itself be questioned; and even then there is no way of counting them that deals with the most likely source of error: software bugs in the original software that may have misrecorded the ballots in the first place.
What do these considerations mean for the coming general election? Let me hazard some predictions.
1) Will we observe any serious incidents in the upcoming election of vote fraud traceable to deliberate malicious code in voting machines?
No, I do not think so. Although I believe that the production, testing, certification, and distribution of evoting software leaves voting machines profoundly vulnerable to many kinds of attack, the likelihood of a major successful attack in any one election, especially so early in the history of evoting, is relatively small. And if a cleverly-designed attack were conducted, it is reasonably likely that we would never even detect it, so again I don't expect we will actually observe instances of evoting fraud.
2) Will there be reliability problems with evoting systems?
Yes, I would expect so. I would guess that there will be hundreds or thousands of incidents around the country in which voting machines and canvass systems fail to work as advertised. It is hard to predict just what kinds of problems we will see most frequently, but here is a list of things I will be looking for: software crashes in evoting machines; miscalibrated touchscreens; problems with features not used by mainstream voters, e.g. non-English ballots, or audio access for the blind, or write-in ballots; problems with new or unusual voting procedures such as instant runoff; problems in jurisdictions with very long ballots; problems with precinct setup or shutdown procedure and other procedures used by precinct clerks; problems with voters being presented with the wrong ballots, or ballots with some races left off or added; software problems of various kinds during the canvass process leading to delayed preliminary results in many jurisdictions; and problems with challenges and recount procedures, about which more below.
Because these problems will be scattered, different in different jurisdictions, and often not visible to the public, and because there is a tendency for such incidents to be publicly denied or minimized by both vendors and election officials alike, we will probably hear about only a fraction of the incidents that actually occur. I hope that the many groups doing organized observation of the election will keep good records of problems so that reasonable post-election analysis will be possible.
3) Will there be a repeat of the recounts, challenges, lawsuits, etc. that we had in 2000?
My guess is that we will see a different set of post-election problems than we saw in 2000. My biggest concern has to do with the lack of auditability and meaningful recounts. There will probably be hundreds of very close races in evoting counties around the country, often local races, in which the losing candidates will naturally want a recount. These candidates may be shocked when they discover that meaningful recounts are impossible! Watching a technician run the same program over the same data file and getting the same result is not a meaningful recount. Some lawsuits are sure to result; the Soubirous lawsuit in Riverside County will, I expect, be prototypical. Recent attempts in Florida to actually declare recounts unnecessary do not give me any confidence either. And if any statewide or nationally visible races (especially for presidential electors) are so close as to merit a recount, I expect a lot of the legal effort will be targeted at the inauditability of evoting systems.
I also predict that there will be a continued erosion of public confidence in electronic voting machines, with all sorts of secondary consequences. (And I predict some election officials will continue to try to cast blame for this erosion on computer scientists like me, instead of where belongs--on those who persist in building, buying, and defending terrible voting systems.) I expect more and more voters will turn to absentee ballots to avoid electronic voting (although absentee balloting is also fraught with problems). And finally, I expect that there will be many people who fervently but falsely believe that evoting elections have been rigged, and that the lack of meaningful recount procedures and the unnecessarily |
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| | | | | 1.4 in reply to 1.1 | |
| Electronic voting is much more risky than the best paper ballot systems (NOT punchcards!) with good procedures. Without a doubt, e-voting threatens the transparency of elections. There is also a serious risk of accidental or intentional inaccuracy in recording votes. What we know about voting and computer technology suggests that these risks are serious. What we don't know (a lot) is more worrying.
To understand the loss of transparency from e-voting, imagine that the upcoming Presidential election is decided by electronic voting machines in some places where the results don't agree with pre-election and exit polls. Why should we accept such a result? No one can watch as the electronic ballots are being handled or counted -- it all happens invisibly in the circuits of computers. There is no way to double-check the results -- the "recounts" of electronic voting machines are actually "reprints" of previously reported votes, regurgitated from the electronic memory of the machine.
If one set out to design systems to prevent checks and balances, it would be hard to outdo current paperless e-voting machines. Electronic voting in its current form is equivalent to handing over the counting of votes to private groups who count the ballots behind closed doors -- and then destroy them before anyone else can do a recount.
Perhaps we could accept paperless e-voting if we knew that the voting machines were infallible. But computer technologists know better. More specifically, we know that the supposed protections for e-voting are non-existent or deeply flawed. The (optional) Federal standards don't discuss security in any depth. The testing laboratories are paid by the voting machine companies, and refuse to explain what they do even to election officials. The one design of an e-voting machine that leaked out on the Internet was found to have incredible design blunders with respect to computer security. Before every election, tens of thousands of machines are delivered at least a day in advance to poorly secured polling places, and even to the homes of poll workers. Although the "redundant memories" and "electronic audit trails" of these machines are touted by vendors and election officials, candidates are routinely denied access to this information by the courts. In the one known case where the audit trails were examined, they were found to have been scrambled by three independent bugs in the machine software. There are hundreds of documented "glitches" in e-voting equipment, including lost votes, most of which are unexplained because there have been almost no in-depth technical investigations. Finally, due to the lack of transparency of any aspect of this equipment, there is no way to tell how many other problems have occurred that we don't know about.
Paper voting systems are, of course, also subject to inaccuracies and fraud. But the best paper systems have been shown experimentally to be highly accurate (and they allow recounts if inaccuracies are expected). With reasonable election procedures, fraud can be minimized -- ballots must be forged or altered one-at-a-time and every such ballot represents a risk to the perpetrator. But a single error in e-voting software, or a single "rogue programmer" could affect thousands of votes, possibly without detection.
If we put more effort into improved election procedures rather than looking to expensive new technology to solve all our voting problems, we can make paper ballot systems much more trustworthy than paperless electronic voting systems can be -- at least for the near future.
Edited 10/11/2004 9:04:30 AM ET by PACZKOWSK1 |
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| | | | | 1.5 in reply to 1.1 | |
Electronic voting technology in the upcoming Presidential election, the real world context in which the virtues and vulnerabilities of electronic technology has become an issue, does not represent a risk to American democracy.
The risk, rather, derives from strongly held political views and preferences for a particular outcome and technology is only a scapegoat whether it be "low" tech paper ballots or "high" tech electronic ballots. Remember how punchcard technology was scapegoated in 2000 and beyond? That very maligned paper trail of 2000 is now being touted as the gold standard for electronic voting systems. The criticism of voting technology is, in many cases, a rejection of election results.
Just look at this weekend's "low" tech election in Afghanistan. Opposition candidates have rejected the results of the election because of an alleged "failure" of voting technology--in this case ink. Not just any ink, but the ink used to mark the hands of voters, not ballots. The ink is indelible to prevent multiple voting. These candidates allege that someone "might" be able to remove the ink therefore the election is compromised. No incident has been documented only the "possibilty" that it "could" happen has been alleged. This is no different than allegations that someone "might" tamper with votes cast on US electronic voting machines.
The real risks to this election, regardless of voting technology, are those that have repeatedly and historically occured--human error; errors on the part of voters, errors by volunteers on election day and errors by election officials. Errors are not acceptable but they are virtually inevitable. Not all errors can have an impact on election results. In fact, most cannot. Yet simple and recoverable errors are twisted and exaggerated to cast doubt and uncertainty on election returns--always for a political purpose. In fairness, a tiny number of errors are so gross as to merit concern about the outcome of elections. These errors seldom occur and are not a result of voting technology but rather of problems that should have been anticipated and resolved prior to an election. |
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| | | | | 1.6 in reply to 1.1 | |
| When I began the journey of implementing a more secure voting system in 1999, I was well aware of the risks associated with a paper ballot system. After convening a task force of election officials, technologists and a number of others who researched available voting systems, the consensus strongly supported a direct record electronic (DRE) touchscreen voting system for Riverside County. After four years and 29 successful elections, we found the risks associated with electronic voting to be far less than our paper-based system which is still being used for absentee and mail ballots for the following reasons:
1. First and foremost, there is no perfect voting system because of the significant human factor involved (voters, staff and pollworkers primarily).
2. DRE touchscreen voting units are stand-alone and not connected to the Internet, which substantially minimizes any risk of intrusion by someone externally, as you have with a networked automated system.
3. There are significant checks and balances built into the design of these systems that would alert the election administrator if anyone had attempted to tamper with the system.
4. The DRE system used by Riverside County will not allow the PCMCIA cartridge (redundant memory that records the votes) to be interchanged with another unit, or the unit will not operate. The voter activation card which brings up the official ballot cannot be reused, unless the pollworker activates it.
5. In addition to both federal and state testing procedures, the election official conducts significant pre-election and post-election testing to ensure that the voting units are accurate. In addition, California has instituted a “parallel monitoring” program in which DRE voting units are tested in official election mode on Election Day. The California Secretary of State’s Office reported that its parallel monitoring program for the March 2004 primary was 100% accurate on all DRE units tested by its independent contractor for this major election.
6. More valid votes can be counted because these units preclude “over-voting,” or choosing more than the required choice in a specific contest, which minimizes the risk of inadvertent errors by the voters. And every ballot image can be printed for the purpose of a manual recount.
7. Our currently-certified DRE voting systems offer “verifiable voting” through a review screen in which the voter can “verify” each choice made and , those intentionally left blank or change his/her vote before the final electronic ballot is cast. It was demonstrated in Nevada in September 2004 that the redundant paper verification by the voter is not utilized by the vast majority of voters; and even with that very short ballot, the average time to verify selections both on the screen and the redundant paper tape was 64% longer, as reported by observers who timed voters. Printers jam, and voters wil mistake that breakdown as the electronic voting unit malfunctioning, not the printer.
We will learn more about this option when a longer ballot is used on November 2nd. It is an extraordinary redundant cost when paper ballots are currently available for those who wish to use them. However, it is not necessary to penalize the majority when there is not a demand by the majority for this added complexity and expense in the polls, which only increases operational risks on Election Day, when there is no demonstrable problem. Instead, it is designed to counter misperceptions rather than reality. On November 2nd, 2004, mechanical lever machines, paper punchcard systems and other paper-based voting systems will be used, the former without any audit trail, and the latter, which is being phased out in many states because of greater human error. There are far greater risks of error with these aged systems than exists with more accurate DRE voting systems. Who, in academia, would regress 30 years ago to typewriters and ditto machines for their teaching future leaders of America? Yet, paper advocates are crusading for this regression in our democracy when improved systems have been proven to perform and have, in fact, improved the integrity of the vote. There is a high level of confidence among voters because they know how automation has improved the quality of their lives. Is there a risk with our computer-operated automobiles, airplanes or medical devices that dramatically affects our life and safety? Yes, there is risk in anything we do including walking in the crosswalk; but there is no doubt these voting systems work successfully with the proper management, planning and training. Without these factors, there will be greater risk in any operation, irrespective of discipline or profession.
9. When working with multi-thousands of paper tapes, paper ballots, or paper sheets, the more fallible element invariably is the human being who is spending hours in the recount process. We used stacks of 25 paper ballots to lessen the number of times we would have a panel have to do it again because of the fatigue factor creating miscounts. This is why computers are used to prepare major federal/state budgets, because the accountability and accuracy are far greater than a human being using a slide rule or an adding machine with a tape.
10. Most importantly, election officials affirm an oath of office to ensure the integrity of the vote, along with thousands of citizen volunteers (pollworkers) and staff. These are the guardians of our democracy, and attest to the fact that DRE voting systems have been successfully used throughout our nation for the past 20 years without any evidence of fraud or manipulation. Will errors be made occasionally? Yes, because of the human factor that exists with every voting system. But the checks and balances in place, as well as the dedicated cadre of professional election officials and volunteers, will assure that if any human glitches occur, they will be addressed. However, DRE voting systems are proven to be far more accurate, reliable, efficient and cost-effective than any paper-based system over the long term. |
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| | | | | 1.7 in reply to 1.2 | |
Dr. Rubin,
While I agree with you that transparency in elections is essential, it is a disservice to the public for us not to acknowledge the multi-thousands of pollworkers, candidates and observers at the polls who are witnesses to the transparency of our process. What about all those who are being encouraged to vote an absentee/mail ballot? They place their faith in the U.S. Postal Service, which handles their mail ballot by computerized processes. If they are delivered to the Elections Department, for decades, those ballots have been tabulated through computers (not networked). Yet, that voter has no idea whether his/her ballot has been counted in every contest because of the anonymity of the voter and secrecy of the ballot. For those who "over-voted," their choice for president was not counted if they made two selections, when the choice required was for only one. Has anyone today been challenging those proprietary systems or saying that they are not transparent, even though their accuracy has been tested in the same ways as DREs?
When manual recounts are made with paper ballots, we find variances because of over-votes or the fact that the computerized card readers cannot discern the intent of the voter. The final tally is then adjusted because of these variances. Yet, the accuracy of the DREs has been proven through manual recounting printed ballot images and comparing those totals against election night tallies, as well as comparing the number of voters who signed rosters. I commend you for serving as a pollworker, and wish more who have concerns about DREs would do so because you are able to observe some of the many checks and balances that are in place. We don't seek "transparency" in the proprietary code Otis uses in its elevators, yet daily Americans travel great heights, placing their lives in total reliance of technology in this venue, on airplanes, in cars and multiple other ways. Many critical aspects of our lives work, even though we do not observe every line of code (nor would it be feasible for the average citizen to be trained to do so). Yet, we have laws, regulations and procedures to protect their safety and well-being, as we do in elections administration.
Edited 10/11/2004 3:24:03 PM ET by JMURRELL1 |
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| | | | | 1.8 in reply to 1.1 | |
The risks associated with electronic voting are much the same as the risks associated with voting over the past 40 years. There is the risk of programming errors, the risk of stuffing the ballot box. And there is the risk is that people will be given a wrong ballot and will vote in elections in which they are not entitled to participate.
Programming errors happen with punch cards, they happen with optical scan ballots, and they happen with DREs. As long as something other than a human being is counting the ballots there will be the potential for programming errors. But election administrators are aware of these potential errors these and work actively to prevent them. The risk of a programming error in a DRE is, I believe, lower than the risk of a programming error for other voting systems. The reason is that DREs and the software that runs them are more rigorously tested than paper based voting systems. In paper based voting systems election administrators proof the paper ballots to ensure the accuracy of the candidates and contests. This is separate from the testing of the computers that will count the ballots. Those computers are tested separately to make sure that the ballots they tally are consistent with the marks on the paper ballot. For DREs the proofing of the candidates and contests is incorporated into the testing of the tally. This results in a greater volume of tests, a broader scope of tests, and integration between the input and output of votes and results.
The second risk of someone stuffing the ballot box also applies to both paper based and electronic voting systems. I believe there's less risk with electronic voting systems With paper systems the empty ballot box is displayed at the opening of the polls. With DREs the zero report is printed showing that there have been no votes cast on the machine. In order to stuff a DRE ballot , a person would have to somehow get their hands on a DRE activation card (these are kept under tight security), and then vote multiple times. It would be extraordinarily difficult to do that undetected. When all is said and done, it's far easier to reproduce a paper ballot than it is to get an activation card. That doesn't mean it's easy to stuff a paper ballot election, it's nearly impossible. But if there is a risk, it's greater with paper ballots, not DREs.
Finally, there is risk that the voter will be given the wrong ballot (This was the situation in Orange County, CA in March). It's like issuing the wrong DRE activation code, and the risks of it occuring are probably similar in both systems.
I can assure you that the security surrounding the electronic voting machines is greater than the security of voting systems at any point in our history. DREs are kept under lock and key and under video surveillance 24/7. Anyone who wants to tamper with the machines while they are in the election administrator's possession would be detected before they could do so. While the DREs are out at polling places there are numerous security precautions taken to insure that no tampering takes place. Numbered tamper-indicating seals, physical separation of the DREs and the activators, zero reports that are verified before any DRE is put into operation, etc. prevent tampering. During election day the presence of pollworkers and voters acts as another deterrent to those who would tamper with DREs.
Even if someone has the technical skill to hack into a voting system, either electronic or paper based, they will still have to have access to the voting machines to tamper with them. Election administrators have security precautions in place to prevent or detect attempted tampering.
Edited 10/11/2004 3:44:04 PM ET by PACZKOWSK1 |
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| | | | | 1.9 in reply to 1.7 | |
You write:
While I agree with you that transparency in elections is essential, it is a disservice to the public for us not to acknowledge the multi-thousands of pollworkers, candidates and observers at the polls who are witnesses to the transparency of our process.
My reply:
I acknowledge and appreciate the effort of all these people. Still, I do not think that they can observe what's going on inside the DREs. If a machine accidentally or through malicious programming switches votes from one candidate to another, none of those volunteers would know it.
You write:
For those who "over-voted," their choice for president was not counted if they made two selections, when the choice required was for only one. Has anyone today been challenging those proprietary systems or saying that they are not transparent, even though their accuracy has been tested in the same ways as DREs?
My Reply:
I believe that with a hybrid system, where a touchscreen is used to enter choices, and a paper printout of a ballot is produced, all of these problems can be solved, without the security risks of today's paperless DREs.
You write:
Yet, the accuracy of the DREs has been proven through manual recounting printed ballot images and comparing those totals against election night tallies, as well as comparing the number of voters who signed rosters.
My reply:
I guess we have different definitions for "proven". Manually recounting printed ballot images seems like a waste of time. Of course they will match the thing that was printed out. But, if the tampering or error occurs before the votes are stored, then that error will be printed as well. The counts will match, but the vote counts will be wrong.
You write:
We don't seek "transparency" in the proprietary code Otis uses in its elevators, yet daily Americans travel great heights, placing their lives in total reliance of technology in this venue, on airplanes, in cars and multiple other ways. Many critical aspects of our lives work, even though we do not observe every line of code (nor would it be feasible for the average citizen to be trained to do so). Yet, we have laws, regulations and procedures to protect their safety and well-being, as we do in elections administration.
My reply:
I am not against technology. I drive a car, get on airplanes and ride elevators. However, if the code in any of these was as bad as Diebold's software, I wouldn't. I think that the real difference is the adversary model. If there were trillions of dollars worth of incentives for people to rig elevators so that they crashed, I would be advocating for only using stairs. |
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| From: | Guest | 10/11/2004 3:12 pm |
| To: | paczkowski |
(10 of 88) | | | | 1.10 in reply to 1.1 | |
| There are lots of incidents in which electronic voting systems have failed. Verified Voting has a list with plenty of examples of malfunctions.
I have several considerations about the current crop of electronic voting machines.
- The principle for voting in the U.S. is to have ballots cast in secret and counted in public. With electronic voting machines using code that's a trade secret to record and count the ballots, that isn't counting the ballots in public. And it is not clear that the secrecy of ballots is maintained when the electronic voting machines may record the order in which ballots are cast. A paper on privacy in electronic voting machines may be found here, under "Electronic Voting."
- A standard principle of auditing of electronic systems for financial records is to maintain multiple independent copies of the data. For example, double-entry bookkeeping is done with the totals to balance, so as to help ensure the integrity of the system. Translated to the voting world, it means that there needs to be multiple independent records of vote records if they are recorded electronically. The simplest approach to ensuring a permanent immutable independent copy of the vote for non-networked electronic voting machines is to print a copy of the vote cast. Printing a copy of the ballot also gives the opportunity to the voter to verify that his or her choices have been properly recorded.
A better idea is to have the printed paper actually be the official ballot. In-polling place optical scanning systems have lower error rates and provide for meaningful recounts. The paper optical scan ballots can be marked by hand (such as for absentee ballots or in polling places), or marked using an electronic voting machine interface. The electronic voting machine interface can be made accessible to the voter just the same way that DRE (Direct Recording Electronic) voting machines can be made accessible. And an optical scanner ballot verifier can be used to allow visually- or reading-impaired voters to verify that their ballot correctly reflects their intent. Several commercial systems of this type currently exist. A variant of such a system is being developed by the Open Voting Consortium.
At a forum on the Computer History Museum on Octobet 1, 2004, Bill Gates was asked about voting machines, and responded that he thought voting machines should print paper ballots that the voter can verify and place in regular ballot box.
I believe it is reasonable for voting machine vendors to maintain intellectual property rights on their systems through copyright and patent protection. I do not believe that it is reasonable for public elections to be performed on systems that are trade secrets. Voting machine and tabulation systems should all have their software code, hardware specifications, and requirements and test documents all published on the web. Tests performed by each Independent Testing Authority (ITA) should be made public. Secrecy of these systems and tests does not engender trust. Security through obscurity is poor security indeed. Linux has had fewer security problems (and they've been fixed faster) than Microsoft Windows and its variants. The secrecy of Microsoft Windows source code has not helped that much in securing that system. |
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