Nov 19, 2009 10:00 PM Posted by: Doug Kammerer
As of right now the weekend is looking pretty good. As I write this rain is falling in most areas. That rain has been brought to us by a frontal boundary which should move through overnight tonight. We will see some early rain on Friday but most of it should be out of here by the time rush hour really gets underway. I expect wet roadways, but little else.
Conditions will improve quickly during the day Friday. I think we should actually see plenty of sunshine by noon on Friday. Winds will shift to the north and west. This will be a dryer wind. Highs on Friday will climb into the upper 50s for most locations and some areas might even see 60.
Saturday will be a beautiful day. There may be some high cloudiness, but all in all we are in for a good start to the weekend. Highs will be near 60 degrees so make your Saturday plans now.
By Sunday we will start to see changes once again. High pressure will start to move off to the east and cloud cover will start to increase. Right now, I think Sunday will stay dry, but rain may move in overnight Sunday and into Monday.
Monday will be rainy, wet and windy. We are no longer using the term Nor'easter as the low looks to track further inland. It will still not be a very nice start to the week, but at least the weekend will be great. Enjoy! Nov 18, 2009 10:11 PM
Posted by: Doug Kammerer
Well, we have more rain coming and we may even have another Nor'easter on our hands come the beginning of next week. We are in a very active pattern right now and I think that is going to persist through the end of the month. It looks as if we will have storm after storm move through our region as this pattern continues. Some of the storms will be small and others big, but it will be quite unsettled for the rest of the month.
The next best chance of rain comes tomorrow and into early Friday morning. I don't think we will see too much rain from this next system as it will be a fast mover. Rain should begin as some light shower activity south of Philly during the day tomorrow. That light rain will move into the Philadelphia region by afternoon and will pick up during the overnight hours. The rain may be heavy at times toward Friday morning. Again though, this will be a fast mover so rain totals will not be all that impressive. Most locations should pick up about a quarter inch. There will also be a brief period of strong winds with this next system as well. The strongest winds will be in the area Friday morning with wind gusting to 30 mph. By late afternoon we should all be clearing out and the rest of the day looks nice.
Right now the weekend is looking pretty good and that, I know, is good news for just about everybody so enjoy it. The weather will be partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees.
By late Sunday though, it looks as if yet another Nor'easter will start to take shape. Right now it is a little too early to tell exactly what is going to happen, but it does look as if we could be in for some heavy rain and wind again. This time around though the storm would be a fast move, unlike our last Nor'easter. It is one that we are watching so stay tuned to CBS 3 for our latest forecasts. Nov 17, 2009 10:51 PM So last night we gave our exclusive Winter Forecast on the late news on CBS 3. We worked on this forecast long and hard and I think we came up with some pretty good numbers. There were so many things to look at going into this winter. The biggest factor though is El Nino and what stage it is in. Currently, El Nino is in the positive phase meaning that the Pacific waters near the equator are warmer than normal. El Ninos typically mean more snow for our region and more potential for bigger snowfalls. Most of those big snowfalls come as coastal storms or Nor'easters. Looking at the data, I think we have a pretty good chance at seeing a few big storms and maybe even one for the record books. Now what does that mean? When I say record books, that means a storm of at least 10 inches or more, since we do not see them too often. Over the last 50 years there have been 15 storms that have brought us over 10 inches of snow. 9 of them have come during the warm phase of El Nino. That means that 60 percent of our biggest snows have come during El Ninos. There are a lot of other factors that we look at as well. We look at the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere and many other factors. The two that are the biggest though are El Nino and the NAO or the North Atlantic Oscillation. El Nino we know about and we can predict it out for a few months. With the NAO though there is almost no prediction out more than a week or two so that is our wild card. We tend to get more snow and much colder weather when the NAO is in its negative phase. In that phase we normally see a deep trough over the eastern part of the country. With that type of pattern it is much easier to get storms to move up the coast. If the NAO goes negative in January or February, we think that is when our best chances for big snows would fall. We average between 19 and 20 inches of snow per year in the Philadelphia area. This year we are predicting above normal snowfall to the tune of 26-33 inches. If you like snow, then this year could be your year. For those of you with snow plows and snow removal businesses, you haven't seen much work in the last few years. This year could be your year. We will keep you posted right here at CBS 3. Doug Kammerer CBS 3 Meteorologist Nov 15, 2009 11:48 PM
Posted by: Doug Kammerer
Our Nor'easter is finally out of here, but many of us are dealing with it's aftermath. Even if you didn't get hit hard by the storm yourself, you most likely have seen the pictures from the shore. The shore was just creamed by this latest storm. I was down there from Wednesday night as the Nor'easter started to Friday night as it was pulling away. The power of the storm was simply amazing.
I was positioned in Atlantic City almost the entire time. I saw the conditions go from bad to worse as the winds and the ocean picked up steam. Thursday was the day for the wind. I was situated along the north end of AC by the Flagship and the winds were just awesome. I recorded a wind gust of 67 mph. It was very hard to stand and many residents found it hard to make it to the front door of the place.
Later that night and into Friday morning, it was not the wind but the ocean that made for a mess. The tide was the highest that morning and many streets were flooded all up and down the coast. I saw a ton of damage as the ocean ripped up the board walk and destroyed dunes in the area.
By Sunday the storm gave way to sunshine and beautiful weather. That great weather is going to last for most of the week. For many of us, it will be great to just enjoy the weather outside again, but for those of you down the shore the weather will help with the extensive clean up efforts. Good Luck to those of you that were affected! Nov 10, 2009 10:46 PM The weather over the next few days is going to be changing in a big way. High pressure is moving in from the north and west while, at the same time, low pressure is moving in from the south and west. The two will combine to give our area another prolonged Nor'easter! The weather over the past few days has been spectacular for mid November. We saw highs of 70 both Sunday and Monday. Tuesday was still warm with a high in the upper 60s even though there were plenty of clouds. During the day Tuesday a front was trying to move through our region. In behind that front, cooler air will continue to try to work its way down into the area. Highs on Wednesday will only be in the mid 50s in most locations. We will see a few showers during the day and the wind will be picking up as well. From the South, the remnants of Tropical storm Ida are moving our way. We will see a few showers on Wednesday with a better chance of rain as we get to the end of the week. The area of low pressure that forms off the Mid Atlantic coast will combine with the high over New England to once again bring us an extended period Northeast winds. Winds will be quite gusty over the next few days. Winds will increase during the day Wednesday climbing to about 20-25 mph by days end. On Thursday winds will gust to 30 mph and they could be even stronger on Friday. Down the shore we could easily see winds to 40 mph starting Thursday. Rain is not going to be a big factor for most of us. The high that is moving to our north will tend to dry out the system, leading to showers north and west of Philly. The rain will be the heaviest to the south and east with southern Delaware and extreme south Jersey seeing the most rain. Places like the Lehigh Valley and Berks county may only see about a quarter inch of rain through the day on Friday, while Dover and Cape May could pick up 1-2 inches and maybe more. Again, everyone will see wind from this and some rain, but the worst of the weather should stay to the south and east. Keep those umbrellas handy over the next few days and stay tuned to CBS 3!! Doug Kammerer CBS 3 Meteorologist Nov 4, 2009 9:41 PM
Posted by: Doug Kammerer
We are in for a few chilly days. Last night was a cold night. Some areas got into the upper 20s while most stayed in the low to mid 30s. Temperatures did not warm up too much today as we had plenty of cloud cover. It wasn't too bad, but it was on the cool side.
Now a frontal boundary and an upper level system are moving through the region and will so during the day on Thursday. Temperatures Thursday will be back into the low 50s, but it will really cool down Thursday night and into Friday. Most locations will be quite cold on Thursday night as lows will again fall into the low 30s in most locations. Temperatures will be hard pressed to rebound during the day on Friday, even with sunshine. We will see rather breezy, if not windy, conditions during the day. The high will most likely be in the low to mid 40s in most locations with a high in the upper 40s in the city. We will be talking about wind chills during the day as well, especially in the morning. Wind chills Friday morning may be in the mid to upper 20s so get out those coats!
Now, here is the good news. By Saturday afternoon the same area of high pressure that is bringing in the cold air, will move off to the east ushering in much warmer air. Saturday will be much nicer with a high back in the mid 50s. It gets even better as we head into Sunday as high temperatures may reach back into the 60s. This is looking like a great weekend!! Get out and enjoy it and bundle up until then! Nov 1, 2009 10:51 PM
Posted by: Doug Kammerer
We saw yet another rainy weekend as we entered the month of November. If you have been thinking we have seen a lot of rainy weekends lately, you would be right. Six of the last Seven weekends have had some rain and a few of them have been total washouts! It has been horrible!
Sometimes we get into these patterns though and it may take a while to break out of them. The good news is that I think we may just be breaking out of our current funk. This week should be fairly dry. There is a chance of a shower or two both Tomorrow and Thursday, but we will not see much at all either day. As of right now, the weekend is looking mild and dry! Let's just hope it will stay that way.
Temperatures this week will be on the cool side. The warmest day should be on Tuesday. Right now I am thinking we should see a high near 60 with some sun. A cold front will move through on Tuesday though and it should really cool us down. Highs for the rest of the week will struggle to reach 50 and we will be in the 30s overnight through the end of the week. It will be Chilly as we head into what looks like a better weekend.
Have a great week everyone and GO PHILLIES!! Oct 29, 2009 8:10 PM Posted by: Doug Kammerer
The weather for game one was not exactly ideal for a ball game, but the Phillies were able to take advantage of the Yankees and Yankee stadium last night. Tonight's weather looks much nicer. It will be cool but it will still be nice. Go Phils for game #2!!
On Friday we will see a mix of clouds and sun, with more clouds early in the day. High temperatures should reach the low 60s during the day and all in all it should be a pretty good day.
By Saturday a strong cold front will move toward the region. Ahead of that front, very warm air will move into the region. I think, that with some sunshine, we should be able to reach the mid 70s across the area. It will once again be a very warm Halloween. Over the last 6 years our Halloween temperatures have averaged over 70 degrees and we should be warm again. That front however will have some shower activity with it and it may come during the evening hours, when many of us will be out trick or treating. That leads us to the forecast for game 3!
Temperatures on Saturday will be warm as we mentioned and they will stay warm for the game.
The only fly in the ointment is going to be the chance of showers during the game. Right now, I do think that we will see some kind of rain during the game. As of right now, I do not see a wash out and I think they will get it in, but this is a very tough forecast. The rain may hold off until late in the game, but some of it could be heavier late. Again this one is tough. Stay tuned to the forecast if you are thinking of tailgating or going to the game on Saturday night.
Have a great Friday and once again GO PHILS!!!!!!!! Oct 27, 2009 1:05 PM "Rain, Rain go away and come again another day", unfortunately the rain is going away for a bit today, but it will come back tomorrow. Some areas picked up a half inch to an inch earlier this morning. As I write this now at 12:30 pm there are still a few showers left over. The rest of the day will be gloomy and damp with showers off and on. As one storm moves away, another takes shape to our south. Right now they are seeing very heavy rain in parts of the southeast and that rain is moving in our direction. Wednesday will be another rainy day with some locations once again picking up another half inch to an inch. Keep the umbrellas handy over the next 24 to 36 hours. That same storm system may impact the start of the Phillies World Series game in New York. It should be raining all day in New York. I do think that the rain will start to pull away from the area as we near closer to game time, but it is going to be close. The first part of the game, if they play, could be wet. If you are planning on going to the game make sure to take the umbrella and the poncho. Thursday and Friday will be much nicer days as high temperatures should be in the mid to upper 60s both days with sunshine. Thursday may start off cloudy, but there should be plenty of sun by days end. Have a great afternoon everyone! Doug Kammerer CBS 3 Meteorologist Oct 25, 2009 11:49 PM
Posted by: Doug Kammerer
After yet another rainy Saturday, Sunday was beautiful with plenty of sunshine. High pressure will be in control over the next day or so, but that is going to be about it for the sun.
Monday will be a great day with more sunshine and mild temperatures. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s.
The nice days and the sunshine will not continue though. High pressure will move out on Tuesday and a storm will move in from the south late in the day. I am expecting showers to move in to the south and east during the afternoon Tuesday. I think it will be mostly lighter rain during the day Tuesday, but heavier rain is going to move in for the day on Wednesday. Over the two day event, some areas could once again see another inch or more of rain. We could see some more flooding, although I do not see that as being a huge concern right now.
The good news is that the weather is looking much better for the end of the week as temperatures should be able to climb in to the mid to upper 60s on Thursday and Friday. The weekend is a big question mark right now and I will give more updates on it as we get closer. For now, enjoy Monday!!! | |
