Posted by: Doug Kammerer
I have been going over this forecast time and time again and it just keeps looking more and more amazing. We are going to see two early season Nor'easters. It is very rare to see them back to back like this and even more rare to see them back to back this early in the season, but yet here they come. I also keep looking at the new data and it continues to come in colder and colder. There now looks to be enough cold air for some area of PA to see their first snow of the season. Parts of Northern and Central PA could even see some big time snow totals over the next few days. I think even a few locations in our area may be cold enough for the first flakes of the season.
Here is how I seeing this go down as of right now. First the storm, which is currently developing off the Carolina coastline, will make its way into our region during the day Thursday. Rain will develop through the day and become steadier and heavier as the day goes on. The winds will increase throughout the day as well and tomorrow evening rush hour is not looking very good. I think Friday mornings rush hour will be even worse.
To the North and West enough cold air may be in place for snow to fall. I see the potential for significant snow, meaning at least a few inches, to fall in the Poconos. If you are driving to the north or west, please be aware of winter like driving conditions. Also, if enough snow falls here, I think we could see a lot of tree limbs and power lines down north of interstate 80. Farther south toward the Lehigh valley, I think there could be a few flakes as well. Here I do not see much in the way of accumulation, but I do think we may see some flakes from both storm number one and storm number two.
Storm number one moves out on Friday afternoon. The wind will remain but the rain will let up. Saturday morning will start off windy with some light rain or drizzle. The rain and even windier conditions will move back in by later that afternoon with the heaviest rain looking to occur Sunday morning. This second Nor'easter may have even colder air on the back side and more of the area could see a few snow flakes, they may even get as far south as Montgomery, Bucks and upper Chester counties. This is the part of the forecast that is the toughest and I urge anyone in that area to stay tuned to the weather over the next few days.
Shore impacts from this are going to be the greatest. We will see a persistent onshore flow from Thursday right on through the day on Sunday. I think we will see some big time coastal flooding in this area. The shore will also see the strongest winds which could gust over 50 mph. If you live in this area be careful heading out. We could see some downed trees and wires.
All and all this will be a big test for the region as we have not seen weather like this for months. Stay tuned to CBS 3 and CBS3.com for the latest. We will keep you posted.